ROBERT M SHOEMAKER H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,165 students:
≈ 148 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,660 per student in district revenue, the 148 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,873,680/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADVENTHEALTH SCHOOL KILLEEN |
Public | 0.8 | 1 | — |
| KILLEEN ISD EARLY COLLEGE H S FORT CAVAZOS |
Public | 2.2 | 960 | -4.1% |
| C E ELLISON H S KILLEEN |
Public | 3.7 | 1,761 | -33.7% |
| Memorial Christian Academy Killeen |
Private | 3.7 | 180 | +5.9% |
| PATHWAYS ACADEMIC CAMPUS KILLEEN |
Public | 4.3 | 282 | -20.6% |
| RICHARD MILBURN ALTER H S (KILLEEN) KILLEEN |
Public · charter | 4.5 | 136 | -6.8% |
| GATEWAY H S KILLEEN |
Public | 5.8 | 84 | -37.8% |
| KILLEEN H S KILLEEN |
Public | 5.9 | 2,083 | -4.8% |