C E ELLISON H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -12.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,761 students:
≈ 874 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,660 per student in district revenue, the 874 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $11,064,840/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memorial Christian Academy Killeen |
Private | 0.3 | 180 | +5.9% |
| PATHWAYS ACADEMIC CAMPUS KILLEEN |
Public | 2.2 | 282 | -20.6% |
| GATEWAY H S KILLEEN |
Public | 2.6 | 84 | -37.8% |
| RICHARD MILBURN ALTER H S (KILLEEN) KILLEEN |
Public · charter | 2.9 | 136 | -6.8% |
| KILLEEN H S KILLEEN |
Public | 3.1 | 2,083 | -4.8% |
| ROBERT M SHOEMAKER H S KILLEEN |
Public | 3.7 | 2,165 | -4.2% |
| CHAPARRAL H S KILLEEN |
Public | 3.7 | 2,031 | +18.7% |
| ADVENTHEALTH SCHOOL KILLEEN |
Public | 4.2 | 1 | — |