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CHAVEZ H S

Public
HOUSTON, TX · HOUSTON ISD · 92.4% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 479 in 2021 to 486 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+1.5%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -8.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,857 students:

2025
1,697
2027
1,417
2029
1,183

≈ 674 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $13,316 per student in district revenue, the 674 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $8,974,984/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
EARLY COLLEGE T-STEM ACADEMY
HOUSTON
Public · charter 1.6 303 -2.3%
TEXANS CAN ACADEMY - HOUSTON HOBBY
DALLAS
Public · charter 2.0 322 -10.3%
MILBY H S
HOUSTON
Public 2.1 2,126 +1.5%
YES PREP - EAST END
HOUSTON
Public · charter 2.4 525 +4.0%
RICHARD MILBURN ACADEMY PASADENA
PASADENA
Public · charter 2.8 123 +6.0%
HOUSTON GATEWAY ACADEMY - CORAL CAMPUS
HOUSTON
Public · charter 2.9 429 +7.0%
PASADENA H S
PASADENA
Public 2.9 2,217 +1.5%
PREMIER H S - HOUSTON - HOBBY
HOUSTON
Public · charter 3.0 97

Is CHAVEZ H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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