EARLY COLLEGE T-STEM ACADEMY
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 303 students:
≈ 11 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,360 per student in district revenue, the 11 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $168,960/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MILBY H S HOUSTON |
Public | 0.9 | 2,126 | +1.5% |
| YES PREP - EAST END HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 1.3 | 525 | +4.0% |
| HOUSTON GATEWAY ACADEMY - CORAL CAMPUS HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 1.4 | 429 | +7.0% |
| CHAVEZ H S HOUSTON |
Public | 1.6 | 1,857 | -23.7% |
| GEORGE I SANCHEZ CHARTER HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 2.3 | 303 | -12.4% |
| MOUNT CARMEL ACADEMY HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 2.9 | 194 | -27.6% |
| TEXANS CAN ACADEMY - HOUSTON HOBBY DALLAS |
Public · charter | 3.0 | 322 | -10.3% |
| KIPP EAST END H S HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 3.3 | 625 | +94.7% |