TEXANS CAN ACADEMY - HOUSTON HOBBY
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 322 students:
≈ 53 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,520 per student in district revenue, the 53 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $769,560/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PREMIER H S - HOUSTON - HOBBY HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 1.2 | 97 | — |
| TEXASWORKS - HOUSTON-HOBBY HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 1.2 | 5 | — |
| CHAVEZ H S HOUSTON |
Public | 2.0 | 1,857 | -23.7% |
| ILTEXAS HOUSTON WINDMILL LAKES OREM H S HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 2.5 | 837 | +70.8% |
| MOUNT CARMEL ACADEMY HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 2.7 | 194 | -27.6% |
| Genesis Christian School Houston |
Private | 2.7 | 201 | +18.9% |
| SOUTH HOUSTON H S SO HOUSTON |
Public | 2.8 | 2,185 | -5.5% |
| EARLY COLLEGE T-STEM ACADEMY HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 3.0 | 303 | -2.3% |