BRECKENRIDGE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 379 students:
≈ 56 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,825 per student in district revenue, the 56 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $662,200/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WOODSON SCHOOL WOODSON |
Public | 19.9 | 73 | +28.1% |
| MORAN SCHOOL MORAN |
Public | 21.2 | 36 | — |
| ALBANY JR-SR H S ALBANY |
Public | 22.3 | 147 | -7.0% |
| RANGER H S RANGER |
Public | 24.9 | 72 | -33.9% |
| EASTLAND H S EASTLAND |
Public | 25.3 | 280 | -15.7% |
| CISCO LEARNING CENTER CISCO |
Public | 26.1 | 12 | — |
| CISCO H S CISCO |
Public | 26.8 | 225 | +3.7% |
| STRAWN SCHOOL STRAWN |
Public | 28.0 | 57 | — |