GORDON SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 227 students:
≈ 51 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,532 per student in district revenue, the 51 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $741,132/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STRAWN SCHOOL STRAWN |
Public | 7.3 | 57 | — |
| SANTO H S SANTO |
Public | 10.1 | 166 | +12.2% |
| HUCKABAY SCHOOL STEPHENVILLE |
Public | 14.9 | 85 | +13.3% |
| RANGER H S RANGER |
Public | 17.3 | 72 | -33.9% |
| LIPAN H S LIPAN |
Public | 19.0 | 145 | +5.8% |
| LINGLEVILLE SCHOOL LINGLEVILLE |
Public | 21.6 | 72 | -21.7% |
| STEPHENVILLE H S STEPHENVILLE |
Public | 24.4 | 1,079 | -0.2% |
| BLUFF DALE BLUFF DALE |
Public | 24.6 | 62 | +10.7% |