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CENTRAL HEIGHTS H S

Public
NACOGDOCHES, TX · CENTRAL HEIGHTS ISD · 23.1% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 73 in 2021 to 82 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+12.3%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 333 students:

2025
332
2027
329
2029
326

≈ 7 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $12,897 per student in district revenue, the 7 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $90,279/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
NACOGDOCHES CO ALTER ED COOP
NACOGDOCHES
Public 3.5
MARGIE CHUMBLEY ACADEMY FOR SUCCESS
NACOGDOCHES
Public 3.5 67 +17.5%
NACOGDOCHES H S
NACOGDOCHES
Public 5.8 1,755 +0.1%
Regents Academy
Nacogdoches
Private 8.8 151 -3.8%
CUSHING SCHOOL
CUSHING
Public 11.9 165 +1.2%
DOUGLASS SCHOOL
DOUGLASS
Public 12.1 134 -10.7%
GARRISON H S
GARRISON
Public 14.0 221 -2.6%
MT ENTERPRISE H S
MT ENTERPRISE
Public 14.7 141 +8.5%

Is CENTRAL HEIGHTS H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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