PHOENIX SCHOOL AT SOUTHWEST SCHOOLS
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 107 students:
≈ 12 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,398 per student in district revenue, the 12 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $184,776/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KIPP HOUSTON H S HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 0.3 | 642 | -4.0% |
| HARMONY SCIENCE ACADEMY-HOUSTON HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 0.6 | 750 | +6.8% |
| Marian High School (Nti Career Institute) Houston |
Private | 0.6 | 14 | — |
| YES PREP - BRAYS OAKS HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 2.0 | 566 | +3.5% |
| TEXANS CAN ACADEMY - HOUSTON SOUTHWEST HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 2.1 | 410 | +5.1% |
| St Agnes Academy College Preparatory Houston |
Private | 2.5 | 922 | +0.7% |
| SHARPSTOWN INTERNATIONAL SCHOOL HOUSTON |
Public | 2.5 | 745 | +2.8% |
| Strake Jesuit College Prep School Houston |
Private | 2.6 | 1,337 | +31.3% |