EDNA ALTERNATIVE
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -34.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 13 students:
≈ 11 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,587 per student in district revenue, the 11 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $149,457/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDNA H S EDNA |
Public | 1.4 | 455 | +11.5% |
| Edna Christian Academy Edna |
Private | 1.7 | 20 | — |
| GANADO H S GANADO |
Public | 9.0 | 221 | +3.8% |
| INDUSTRIAL H S VANDERBILT |
Public | 11.6 | 348 | -5.7% |
| LOUISE H S LOUISE |
Public | 17.1 | 153 | +9.3% |
| VICTORIA REGIONAL JUVENILE JUSTICE CENTER VICTORIA |
Public | 19.1 | 25 | — |
| Faith Academy Victoria |
Private | 19.1 | 241 | -10.7% |
| VICTORIA EAST H S VICTORIA |
Public | 21.3 | 1,861 | -0.1% |