INDUSTRIAL H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 348 students:
≈ 32 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,886 per student in district revenue, the 32 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $476,352/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edna Christian Academy Edna |
Private | 9.9 | 20 | — |
| EDNA H S EDNA |
Public | 10.2 | 455 | +11.5% |
| HOPE H S PORT LAVACA |
Public | 13.7 | 21 | — |
| CALHOUN H S PORT LAVACA |
Public | 13.8 | 989 | -2.8% |
| GANADO H S GANADO |
Public | 16.2 | 221 | +3.8% |
| BLOOMINGTON H S BLOOMINGTON |
Public | 17.7 | 227 | +12.9% |
| VICTORIA REGIONAL JUVENILE JUSTICE CENTER VICTORIA |
Public | 18.5 | 25 | — |
| Faith Academy Victoria |
Private | 18.7 | 241 | -10.7% |