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EAST CHAMBERS H S

Public
WINNIE, TX · EAST CHAMBERS ISD · 53.9% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 99 in 2021 to 104 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+5.1%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 447 students:

2025
445
2027
440
2029
436

≈ 11 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $14,251 per student in district revenue, the 11 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $156,761/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
HAMSHIRE-FANNETT H S
HAMSHIRE
Public 5.6 633 +4.8%
HIGH ISLAND SCHOOL
HIGH ISLAND
Public 16.7 53 -27.4%
NEW AE
CHINA
Public 17.4 3
ANAHUAC H S
ANAHUAC
Public 17.9 476 +15.3%
HARDIN-JEFFERSON H S
SOUR LAKE
Public 20.7 782 +7.7%
WEST BROOK SR H S
BEAUMONT
Public 21.9 2,213 -2.2%
Monsignor Kelly Catholic School
Beaumont
Private 22.1 341 -22.7%
EVOLUTION ACADEMY BEAUMONT
BEAUMONT
Public · charter 22.4 202 +4.7%

Is EAST CHAMBERS H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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