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CALDWELL H S

Public
CALDWELL, TX · CALDWELL ISD · 49.8% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 129 in 2021 to 137 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+6.2%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 574 students:

2025
574
2027
573
2029
572

≈ 2 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $15,963 per student in district revenue, the 2 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $31,926/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
SNOOK SECONDARY
SOMERVILLE
Public 12.9 186 +25.7%
MUMFORD H S
MUMFORD
Public 14.4 151 -3.8%
DIME BOX SCHOOL
DIME BOX
Public 16.0 50
MILANO H S
MILANO
Public 16.3 148 -5.1%
SOMERVILLE H S
SOMERVILLE
Public 16.5 168 +14.3%
BRAZOS CO JUVENILE DETENTION CENTER
BRYAN
Public 18.7 15
THE MARY CATHERINE HARRIS SCHOOL-SCHOOL OF CHOICE
BRYAN
Public 19.1 190 +36.7%
Brazos Valley Cornerstone Christian Academy
Bryan
Private 20.0 51 -42.0%

Is CALDWELL H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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