CANYON LAKE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,066 students:
≈ 40 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,614 per student in district revenue, the 40 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $504,560/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRINITY CHARTER SCHOOLS - CANYON LAKE CAMPUS CANYON LAKE |
Public · charter | 5.8 | 12 | — |
| WIMBERLEY H S WIMBERLEY |
Public | 7.2 | 820 | -1.1% |
| KATHERINE ANNE PORTER SCHOOL WIMBERLEY |
Public · charter | 7.6 | 82 | +10.8% |
| SMITHSON VALLEY H S SPRING BRANCH |
Public | 13.1 | 2,098 | -18.8% |
| San Marcos Baptist Academy San Marcos |
Private | 13.2 | 296 | +14.7% |
| Grace Preparatory Academy Of New Braunfels New Braunfels |
Private | 15.3 | 162 | -12.0% |
| New Braunfels Christian Academy New Braunfels |
Private | 15.6 | 495 | +26.3% |
| NEW BRAUNFELS H S NEW BRAUNFELS |
Public | 16.0 | 1,990 | +2.1% |