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KEYS ACAD

Public K–12 / combined
EL PASO, TX · SOCORRO ISD · 89.3% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -21.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 56 students:

2025
44
2027
27
2029
17

≈ 39 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $11,934 per student in district revenue, the 39 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $465,426/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
OPTIONS H S
EL PASO
Public 0.0 136 +88.9%
HARMONY SCIENCE ACAD (EL PASO)
EL PASO
Public · charter 1.5 550 +6.8%
DEL VALLE H S
EL PASO
Public 1.6 1,798 -11.3%
AMERICAS H S
EL PASO
Public 1.6 2,049 -16.6%
MISSION EARLY COLLEGE H S
EL PASO
Public 1.9 410 -11.6%
EASTLAKE H S
EL PASO
Public 2.2 3,004 +12.0%
EL PASO CLASSICAL ACADEMY
EL PASO
Public · charter 2.3 70 +11.1%
SOCORRO H S
EL PASO
Public 3.5 2,579 +4.0%

Is KEYS ACAD winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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