SMITH H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,971 students:
≈ 99 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,609 per student in district revenue, the 99 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,446,291/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOUNDERS CLASSICAL ACADEMY- CARROLLTON CARROLLTON |
Public · charter | 0.1 | 45 | — |
| The St Anthony School Carrollton |
Private | 1.0 | 66 | -17.5% |
| HUIE SPECIAL EDUC CTR CARROLLTON |
Public | 1.7 | 56 | — |
| CREEKVIEW H S CARROLLTON |
Public | 2.0 | 1,686 | -0.2% |
| TURNER H S CARROLLTON |
Public | 2.2 | 2,035 | -2.6% |
| HARMONY SCIENCE ACADEMY - CARROLLTON CARROLLTON |
Public · charter | 2.5 | 255 | -10.2% |
| TEXANS CAN ACADEMY - CARROLLTON-FARMERS BRANCH FARMERS BRANCH |
Public · charter | 2.6 | 214 | -42.6% |
| GRIMES EDUCATION CENTER CARROLLTON |
Public | 3.0 | 99 | +52.3% |