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HARMONY SCIENCE ACADEMY - CARROLLTON

Public Charter K–12 / combined
CARROLLTON, TX · HARMONY PUBLIC SCHOOLS - NORTH TEXAS · 50.7% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 75 in 2021 to 56 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-25.3%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -1.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 564 students:

2025
555
2027
536
2029
519

≈ 45 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $11,859 per student in district revenue, the 45 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $533,655/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
CREEKVIEW H S
CARROLLTON
Public 0.6 1,686 -0.2%
SMITH H S
CARROLLTON
Public 2.5 1,971 -3.0%
FOUNDERS CLASSICAL ACADEMY- CARROLLTON
CARROLLTON
Public · charter 2.6 45
The St Anthony School
Carrollton
Private 2.9 66 -17.5%
TRIVIUM ACADEMY
CARROLLTON
Public · charter 2.9 77 +32.8%
HEBRON H S
CARROLLTON
Public 3.6 3,668 +0.4%
LEWISVILLE SCHOOL OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
LEWISVILLE
Public · charter 3.8 47
UNIVERSAL ACADEMY - COPPELL
COPPELL
Public · charter 3.9 78 +34.5%

Is HARMONY SCIENCE ACADEMY - CARROLLTON winning or losing the families nearby?

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