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TURNER H S

Public
CARROLLTON, TX · CARROLLTON-FARMERS BRANCH ISD · 66.4% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 368 in 2021 to 402 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+9.2%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,035 students:

2025
2,017
2027
1,982
2029
1,948

≈ 87 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $14,609 per student in district revenue, the 87 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,270,983/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
TEXANS CAN ACADEMY - CARROLLTON-FARMERS BRANCH
FARMERS BRANCH
Public · charter 0.4 214 -42.6%
HUIE SPECIAL EDUC CTR
CARROLLTON
Public 0.5 56
GRIMES EDUCATION CENTER
CARROLLTON
Public 1.5 99 +52.3%
The St Anthony School
Carrollton
Private 1.8 66 -17.5%
SMITH H S
CARROLLTON
Public 2.2 1,971 -3.0%
FOUNDERS CLASSICAL ACADEMY- CARROLLTON
CARROLLTON
Public · charter 2.2 45
EARLY COLLEGE H S
DALLAS
Public 2.7 363 +8.4%
Greenhill School
Addison
Private 2.9 1,302 +2.0%

Is TURNER H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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