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MIDWAY ALTERNATIVE H S

Public
CANYON, TX · CANYON ISD · 42.3% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -4.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 52 students:

2025
50
2027
45
2029
41

≈ 11 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $11,550 per student in district revenue, the 11 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $127,050/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
CANYON H S
CANYON
Public 0.2 1,097 -6.2%
PREMIER HIGH SCHOOL-CANYON
CANYON
Public · charter 1.1 32
RANDALL H S
AMARILLO
Public 10.0 1,126 -37.0%
WEST PLAINS H S
AMARILLO
Public 11.6 1,221 +34.2%
AMARILLO COLLEGIATE ACADEMY
AMARILLO
Public · charter 12.7 115 +11.7%
Central Baptist Christian Academy
Amarillo
Private 12.9 9
RICHARD MILBURN ACADEMY AMARILLO
AMARILLO
Public · charter 13.0 133 -26.9%
Ascension Academy
Amarillo
Private 13.1 171 -2.3%

Is MIDWAY ALTERNATIVE H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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