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CANTON H S

Public
CANTON, TX · CANTON ISD · 35.7% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 145 in 2021 to 149 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+2.8%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 650 students:

2025
649
2027
648
2029
647

≈ 3 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $12,874 per student in district revenue, the 3 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $38,622/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
RANCH ACADEMY
CANTON
Public · charter 8.6 58 -6.5%
EDGEWOOD H S
EDGEWOOD
Public 10.2 281 -14.6%
MARTINS MILL H S
MARTIN'S MILL
Public 10.6 146 +5.0%
FRUITVALE H S
FRUITVALE
Public 10.9 99 -13.9%
VAN ZANDT CO YOUTH MULTI-SERVICE CTR
GRAND SALINE
Public 13.8 11
WILLS POINT H S
WILLS POINT
Public 13.9 812 +4.5%
GRAND SALINE H S
GRAND SALINE
Public 14.0 363 +13.4%
VAN H S
VAN
Public 14.6 768 +3.1%

Is CANTON H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

Request an Enrollment Trend Audit →