RANCH ACADEMY
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -5.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 64 students:
≈ 15 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $18,951 per student in district revenue, the 15 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $284,265/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MARTINS MILL H S MARTIN'S MILL |
Public | 4.1 | 146 | +5.0% |
| CANTON H S CANTON |
Public | 8.6 | 650 | -0.3% |
| EUSTACE H S EUSTACE |
Public | 12.1 | 478 | +10.6% |
| MABANK H S MABANK |
Public | 15.0 | 1,173 | +15.1% |
| VAN H S VAN |
Public | 15.1 | 768 | +3.1% |
| ATHENS H S ATHENS |
Public | 15.4 | 879 | -0.7% |
| Athens Christian Preparatory Academy Athens |
Private | 16.1 | 175 | +212.5% |
| BROWNSBORO H S BROWNSBORO |
Public | 16.3 | 770 | +1.6% |