MUMFORD H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 229 students:
≈ 17 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,789 per student in district revenue, the 17 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $268,413/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HEARNE JH/HS HEARNE |
Public | 9.7 | 229 | -1.3% |
| BRAZOS CO JUVENILE DETENTION CENTER BRYAN |
Public | 10.6 | 15 | — |
| THE MARY CATHERINE HARRIS SCHOOL-SCHOOL OF CHOICE BRYAN |
Public | 11.8 | 190 | +36.7% |
| St Joseph Catholic School Bryan |
Private | 12.7 | 299 | -7.4% |
| JAMES EARL RUDDER H S BRYAN |
Public | 13.4 | 1,697 | -1.5% |
| Brazos Valley Cornerstone Christian Academy Bryan |
Private | 14.0 | 51 | -42.0% |
| BRYAN COLLEGIATE H S BRYAN |
Public | 14.0 | 465 | +6.9% |
| CALDWELL H S CALDWELL |
Public | 14.4 | 574 | -0.2% |