ROGERS H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 271 students:
≈ 34 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,343 per student in district revenue, the 34 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $453,662/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUCKHOLTS SCHOOL BUCKHOLTS |
Public | 7.4 | 34 | — |
| ACADEMY H S LITTLE RIVER |
Public | 7.9 | 546 | +10.3% |
| HOLLAND H S HOLLAND |
Public | 11.2 | 183 | -12.9% |
| KI CHARTER - TEMPLE TEMPLE |
Public · charter | 12.2 | 7 | — |
| Resolution Ranch Academy Cameron |
Private | 12.4 | 23 | — |
| Central Texas Christian School Temple |
Private | 13.3 | 355 | +8.6% |
| FRED W EDWARDS ACADEMY AEC TEMPLE |
Public | 13.9 | 77 | -30.0% |
| TEMPLE H S TEMPLE |
Public | 14.3 | 2,320 | +2.9% |