BLUE RIDGE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 298 students:
≈ 8 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $16,472 per student in district revenue, the 8 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $131,776/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRENTON H S TRENTON |
Public | 8.1 | 213 | -4.1% |
| MELISSA H S MELISSA |
Public | 8.2 | 1,983 | +50.8% |
| ANNA ACADEMIC ACHIEVEMENT CENTER ANNA |
Public | 8.7 | 49 | — |
| Kingdom Country Academy Van Alstyne |
Private | 8.9 | 100 | — |
| BLAND H S FARMERSVILLE |
Public | 9.3 | 220 | -1.3% |
| FARMERSVILLE H S FARMERSVILLE |
Public | 9.8 | 765 | +22.2% |
| ANNA H S ANNA |
Public | 9.9 | 1,602 | +32.5% |
| HUDDLESTON SPECIAL PROGRAMS CENTER PRINCETON |
Public | 10.3 | — | — |