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TRENTON H S

Public
TRENTON, TX · TRENTON ISD · 39.4% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 64 in 2021 to 64 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+0.0%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -1.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 213 students:

2025
210
2027
204
2029
199

≈ 14 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $14,230 per student in district revenue, the 14 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $199,220/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
LEONARD H S
LEONARD
Public 5.6 269 +1.9%
WHITEWRIGHT H S
WHITEWRIGHT
Public 7.4 222 -7.1%
BLUE RIDGE H S
BLUE RIDGE
Public 8.1 298 -1.7%
CELESTE H S
CELESTE
Public 11.4 147 -0.7%
ECTOR H S
ECTOR
Public 12.0 65 +8.3%
TOM BEAN H S
TOM BEAN
Public 12.3 213 -0.9%
SAVOY H S
SAVOY
Public 12.8 81 +6.6%
ANNA ACADEMIC ACHIEVEMENT CENTER
ANNA
Public 13.0 49

Is TRENTON H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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