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BLAND H S

Public
FARMERSVILLE, TX · BLAND ISD · 60.9% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 50 in 2021 to 54 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+8.0%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 220 students:

2025
219
2027
217
2029
215

≈ 5 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $16,293 per student in district revenue, the 5 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $81,465/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
FARMERSVILLE H S
FARMERSVILLE
Public 5.1 765 +22.2%
CELESTE H S
CELESTE
Public 7.7 147 -0.7%
BLUE RIDGE H S
BLUE RIDGE
Public 9.3 298 -1.7%
COMMUNITY H S
NEVADA
Public 11.3 1,328 +51.1%
PRINCETON SR H S
PRINCETON
Public 11.3 1,262 -6.4%
CADDO MILLS H S
CADDO MILLS
Public 11.4 833 +40.9%
HUDDLESTON SPECIAL PROGRAMS CENTER
PRINCETON
Public 11.5
GREENVILLE H S
GREENVILLE
Public 12.5 1,520 +6.7%

Is BLAND H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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