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ARLINGTON COLLEGIATE H S

Public
ARLINGTON, TX · ARLINGTON ISD · 82.0% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 101 in 2021 to 106 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+5.0%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 401 students:

2025
397
2027
390
2029
383

≈ 18 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $12,932 per student in district revenue, the 18 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $232,776/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
Dr. R. W. Goines Stem Academy
Arlington
Private 1.4 55
BOWIE H S
ARLINGTON
Public 1.4 2,140 -11.3%
MANSFIELD TIMBERVIEW H S
ARLINGTON
Public 1.5 1,788 -9.4%
TCCSE EARLY COLLEGE H S AT TIMBERVIEW
ARLINGTON
Public 1.5 277 +3.7%
ILTEXAS ARLINGTON-GRAND PRAIRIE H S
GRAND PRAIRIE
Public · charter 1.9 749 +11.0%
SEGUIN H S
ARLINGTON
Public 2.0 1,554 -1.1%
VENTURE ALTER H S
ARLINGTON
Public 2.3 616 +94.3%
WINFREE ACADEMY CHARTER SCHOOL - GRAND PRAIRIE
GRAND PRAIRIE
Public · charter 3.6 198 -8.3%

Is ARLINGTON COLLEGIATE H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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