WINFREE ACADEMY CHARTER SCHOOL - GRAND PRAIRIE
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 198 students:
≈ 27 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $9,191 per student in district revenue, the 27 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $248,157/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAM HOUSTON H S ARLINGTON |
Public | 1.2 | 3,208 | -9.4% |
| JOHN A DUBISKI CAREER H S GRAND PRAIRIE |
Public | 2.2 | 1,574 | +3.5% |
| Dr. R. W. Goines Stem Academy Arlington |
Private | 2.2 | 55 | — |
| BOWIE H S ARLINGTON |
Public | 2.3 | 2,140 | -11.3% |
| ADVANTAGE ACADEMY GRAND PRAIRIE |
Public · charter | 2.7 | 167 | +3.7% |
| LYNDON B JOHNSON DAEP GRAND PRAIRIE |
Public | 2.9 | 52 | -24.6% |
| BASEPOINT ACADEMY - ARLINGTON ARLINGTON |
Public · charter | 3.1 | 8 | — |
| SOUTH GRAND PRAIRIE H S GRAND PRAIRIE |
Public | 3.1 | 3,239 | -5.1% |