SEGUIN H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,554 students:
≈ 30 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,932 per student in district revenue, the 30 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $387,960/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MANSFIELD TIMBERVIEW H S ARLINGTON |
Public | 1.6 | 1,788 | -9.4% |
| TCCSE EARLY COLLEGE H S AT TIMBERVIEW ARLINGTON |
Public | 1.6 | 277 | +3.7% |
| VENTURE ALTER H S ARLINGTON |
Public | 1.6 | 616 | +94.3% |
| ILTEXAS ARLINGTON-GRAND PRAIRIE H S GRAND PRAIRIE |
Public · charter | 1.9 | 749 | +11.0% |
| ARLINGTON COLLEGIATE H S ARLINGTON |
Public | 2.0 | 401 | -2.7% |
| MANSFIELD SUMMIT H S ARLINGTON |
Public | 2.2 | 1,772 | -7.0% |
| BOWIE H S ARLINGTON |
Public | 2.6 | 2,140 | -11.3% |
| Dr. R. W. Goines Stem Academy Arlington |
Private | 3.0 | 55 | — |