MANSFIELD SUMMIT H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,772 students:
≈ 201 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,226 per student in district revenue, the 201 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $2,457,426/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEGUIN H S ARLINGTON |
Public | 2.2 | 1,554 | -1.1% |
| MANSFIELD FRONTIER STEM ACADEMY MANSFIELD |
Public | 2.2 | 326 | +109.0% |
| MANSFIELD LEGACY H S MANSFIELD |
Public | 2.7 | 2,568 | +4.9% |
| MANSFIELD TIMBERVIEW H S ARLINGTON |
Public | 3.3 | 1,788 | -9.4% |
| TCCSE EARLY COLLEGE H S AT TIMBERVIEW ARLINGTON |
Public | 3.3 | 277 | +3.7% |
| St Paul'S Preparatory Academy Arlington |
Private | 3.3 | 184 | -15.6% |
| VENTURE ALTER H S ARLINGTON |
Public | 3.3 | 616 | +94.3% |
| ILTEXAS ARLINGTON-GRAND PRAIRIE H S GRAND PRAIRIE |
Public · charter | 3.4 | 749 | +11.0% |