AQUILLA SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 332 students:
≈ 3 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $17,583 per student in district revenue, the 3 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $52,749/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WEST H S WEST |
Public | 8.3 | 375 | -9.6% |
| ABBOTT SCHOOL ABBOTT |
Public | 8.6 | 87 | +6.1% |
| GHOLSON ISD WACO |
Public | 9.6 | 77 | +24.2% |
| WHITNEY H S WHITNEY |
Public | 10.0 | 437 | +2.8% |
| HILLSBORO H S HILLSBORO |
Public | 10.4 | 616 | +8.1% |
| BYNUM SCHOOL BYNUM |
Public | 15.0 | 60 | +17.6% |
| TAG CHINA SPRING |
Public | 15.3 | 11 | — |
| CHINA SPRING H S CHINA SPRING |
Public | 16.0 | 959 | +6.8% |