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TAG

Public
CHINA SPRING, TX · CHINA SPRING ISD · 63.6% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of +30.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 11 students:

2025
14
2027
24
2029
41

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue upside

At $11,689 per student in district revenue, the 30 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $350,670/year in additional funding.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
CHINA SPRING H S
CHINA SPRING
Public 1.2 959 +6.8%
GHOLSON ISD
WACO
Public 6.3 77 +24.2%
BOSQUEVILLE H S
WACO
Public 6.4 227 +4.6%
PREMIER H S OF WACO
WACO
Public · charter 7.9 128 -14.7%
WACO CTR FOR YOUTH
WACO
Public 8.9 52
VALLEY MILLS H S
VALLEY MILLS
Public 9.0 206 +10.2%
Parkview Christian Academy
Waco
Private 9.3 96 +18.5%
CHALLENGE ACADEMY
WACO
Public 9.4 1

Is TAG winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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