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CHINA SPRING H S

Public
CHINA SPRING, TX · CHINA SPRING ISD · 27.8% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 159 in 2021 to 241 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+51.6%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of +2.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 959 students:

2025
980
2027
1,024
2029
1,070

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue upside

At $11,689 per student in district revenue, the 111 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $1,297,479/year in additional funding.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
TAG
CHINA SPRING
Public 1.2 11
BOSQUEVILLE H S
WACO
Public 5.5 227 +4.6%
GHOLSON ISD
WACO
Public 6.7 77 +24.2%
PREMIER H S OF WACO
WACO
Public · charter 6.8 128 -14.7%
WACO CTR FOR YOUTH
WACO
Public 7.8 52
CHALLENGE ACADEMY
WACO
Public 8.3 1
CHALLENGE ACADEMY
WACO
Public 8.3 43
Parkview Christian Academy
Waco
Private 8.4 96 +18.5%

Is CHINA SPRING H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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