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ALIEF EARLY COLLEGE H S

Public
HOUSTON, TX · ALIEF ISD · 84.6% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 95 in 2021 to 103 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+8.4%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 402 students:

2025
399
2027
392
2029
386

≈ 16 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $13,417 per student in district revenue, the 16 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $214,672/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
River Oaks Academy
Houston
Private 0.8 37
TEXAS CONNECTIONS ACADEMY AT HOUSTON
HOUSTON
Public · charter 0.8 5,276 +25.0%
YES PREP - WEST
HOUSTON
Public · charter 1.8 499 +5.5%
Hua Xia Chinese School
Houston
Private 1.9 3,250
ALIEF LEARNING CTR (6-12)
HOUSTON
Public 2.0 83 +25.8%
The Tenney School
Houston
Private 2.1 55 -8.3%
HASTINGS H S
HOUSTON
Public 2.2 3,786 -4.5%
ELSIK H S
HOUSTON
Public 2.4 4,057 -1.6%

Is ALIEF EARLY COLLEGE H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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