TEXAS CONNECTIONS ACADEMY AT HOUSTON
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -5.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 8,641 students:
≈ 2,008 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,316 per student in district revenue, the 2,008 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $26,738,528/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| River Oaks Academy Houston |
Private | 0.1 | 37 | — |
| ALIEF EARLY COLLEGE H S HOUSTON |
Public | 0.8 | 402 | -2.4% |
| YES PREP - WEST HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 1.0 | 499 | +5.5% |
| Hua Xia Chinese School Houston |
Private | 1.2 | 3,250 | — |
| The Tenney School Houston |
Private | 1.3 | 55 | -8.3% |
| ALIEF LEARNING CTR (6-12) HOUSTON |
Public | 1.9 | 83 | +25.8% |
| Strake Jesuit College Prep School Houston |
Private | 2.0 | 1,337 | +31.3% |
| St Agnes Academy College Preparatory Houston |
Private | 2.0 | 922 | +0.7% |