ELSIK H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 4,057 students:
≈ 108 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,417 per student in district revenue, the 108 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,449,036/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HASTINGS H S HOUSTON |
Public | 0.3 | 3,786 | -4.5% |
| ALIEF LEARNING CTR (6-12) HOUSTON |
Public | 1.3 | 83 | +25.8% |
| Van Houston Academy Houston |
Private | 1.4 | 74 | — |
| King'S Academy Houston |
Private | 1.7 | 54 | +8.0% |
| TAYLOR H S HOUSTON |
Public | 2.1 | 2,838 | -0.5% |
| KERR H S HOUSTON |
Public | 2.3 | 807 | +2.2% |
| ALIEF EARLY COLLEGE H S HOUSTON |
Public | 2.4 | 402 | -2.4% |
| The Village School Houston |
Private | 2.6 | 1,261 | — |