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TAYLOR H S

Public
HOUSTON, TX · ALIEF ISD · 79.4% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 592 in 2021 to 608 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+2.7%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,838 students:

2025
2,833
2027
2,824
2029
2,815

≈ 23 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $13,417 per student in district revenue, the 23 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $308,591/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
KERR H S
HOUSTON
Public 0.3 807 +2.2%
King'S Academy
Houston
Private 0.4 54 +8.0%
Van Houston Academy
Houston
Private 0.8 74
HARMONY SCHOOL OF INNOVATION-SUGAR LAND
SUGAR LAND
Public · charter 1.6 912 +22.6%
ELSIK H S
HOUSTON
Public 2.1 4,057 -1.6%
HASTINGS H S
HOUSTON
Public 2.3 3,786 -4.5%
Fellowship Christian Academy
Sugar Land
Private 3.0 96 +11.6%
ALIEF LEARNING CTR (6-12)
HOUSTON
Public 3.1 83 +25.8%

Is TAYLOR H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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