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LIVE OAK ACADEMY

Public
BUDA, TX · HAYS CISD · 49.5% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 115 in 2021 to 115 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+0.0%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -11.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 184 students:

2025
164
2027
130
2029
103

≈ 81 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $12,845 per student in district revenue, the 81 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,040,445/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
JACK C HAYS H S
BUDA
Public 0.1 2,304 +18.8%
IDEA KYLE COLLEGE PREPARATORY
KYLE
Public · charter 2.7 320 +175.9%
LEHMAN H S
KYLE
Public 3.5 2,128 +5.1%
ALTER IMPACT CTR
BUDA
Public 4.5 55 -5.2%
MOE AND GENE JOHNSON H S
BUDA
Public 4.8 2,870 +16.9%
Veritas Academy
Austin
Private 9.3 647 -37.7%
KI CHARTER ACADEMY
SAN MARCOS
Public · charter 9.4 73 -1.4%
AKINS EARLY COLLEGE H S
AUSTIN
Public 9.8 2,421 -8.3%

Is LIVE OAK ACADEMY winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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