AKINS EARLY COLLEGE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,421 students:
≈ 325 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $21,825 per student in district revenue, the 325 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $7,093,125/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IDEA BLUFF SPRINGS COLLEGE PREPARATORY AUSTIN |
Public · charter | 1.9 | 327 | +31.3% |
| WAYSIDE SCI-TECH MIDDLE AND H S AUSTIN |
Public · charter | 3.5 | 236 | -4.5% |
| BOWIE H S AUSTIN |
Public | 4.3 | 2,876 | +1.7% |
| CROCKETT EARLY COLLEGE H S AUSTIN |
Public | 4.4 | 1,529 | -6.3% |
| KIPP AUSTIN BRAVE AUSTIN |
Public · charter | 4.5 | 490 | -32.0% |
| HARMONY SCHOOL OF EXCELLENCE - AUSTIN AUSTIN |
Public · charter | 5.3 | 282 | -1.1% |
| PREMIER HIGH SCHOOL-AUSTIN SOUTH CAMPUS AUSTIN |
Public · charter | 5.4 | 138 | +17.9% |
| VALOR SOUTH AUSTIN AUSTIN |
Public · charter | 5.5 | 245 | +169.2% |