Yucca Valley High School
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Most similar nearby schools
Desert Hot Springs Hs → Cathedral City High School → Rancho Mirage High School → Palm Springs High School → Twentynine Palms High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-2.6%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~1,119 | -30 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~1,062 | -87 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~1,008 | -141 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the San Bernardino County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Yucca Valley High School's enrollment is shrinking far faster than San Bernardino County (school -18.1% vs. county +0.0%). Stability of 85.1% means every family you keep is one fewer; the leverage is at recruitment, not retention. This is the case the high stability number alone would hide. Chronic absenteeism is also at 38.6% (up +15.0 pts from 2016-17) — engagement and demand are both signaling decline.
189 of 1,265 students who enrolled at Yucca Valley High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (14.9% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 15.0 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Morongo Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 14.4%
Federal: 18.5%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Morongo Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
-6.5 pp vs. peer median (10.6%) · Ranked #11 of 11 similar schools
18.5%
10.6%
53.3%
4.1%
Higher than 2% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Yucca Valley High School's UC Reach of 4.1% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
Overall, Yucca Valley High School's UC Reach is higher than 2% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Yucca Valley High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Yucca Valley · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Yucca Valley High School sits near the bottom of its similar-school group (ranked #11 of 11): 4% vs. a peer median of 11%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has slipped 2 points since 2018 — worth watching.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 18% (309→253 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of -11%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-2.6%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1062 by 2029 — about 87 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 87 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yucca Valley High School | Public | 1149 | 4.1% | -18% |
| Peer-group median | 10.6% | -11% | ||
| Desert Hot Springs Hs | Public | 1650 | 15.9% | -7% |
| Cathedral City High School | Public | 1267 | 25.1% | -28% |
| Rancho Mirage High School | Public | 1435 | 9.6% | -14% |
| Palm Springs High School | Public | 1418 | 21.4% | -5% |
| Twentynine Palms High School | Public | 767 | 5.6% | +2% |
| Banning High School | Public | 1152 | 6.3% | +4% |
| Shadow Hills High School | Public | 1602 | 11.5% | -23% |
| Big Bear High School | Public | 636 | 5.7% | -21% |
| Gorman Learning Center | Public | 1170 | 4.9% | -70% |
| Palm Desert High School | Public | 2107 | 29.1% | +7% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego | 3.88 | 50.0% | 22.6% | +27.4pp | Over |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.58 | 54.5% | 30.2% | +24.3pp | Over |
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA → Elite | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 10 | 5 | — | 50.0% | 1.9% | — | 3.88 | 4.25 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 11 | 6 | — | 54.5% | 2.2% | — | 3.58 | 4.07 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | — |
| UC Davis → | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | — |