Winters High School
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Most similar nearby schools
Buckingham Collegiate Charter → Da Vinci Charter Academy → Esparto High School → Dixon High School → Public Safety Academy → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+0.3%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~474 | +2 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~477 | +5 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~480 | +8 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Yolo County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Winters High School is recruiting families faster than Yolo County is shrinking (school +7.8% vs. county -1.9%), but 44 students didn't make it to year-end. The recruitment engine works; the mid-year exits are worth understanding. Chronic absenteeism is rising (24.1%, +13.6 pts since 2016-17) — a watch signal worth monitoring as a leading indicator.
44 of 485 students who enrolled at Winters High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (9.1% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 13.2 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Winters Joint Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 23.7%
Federal: 12.4%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Winters Joint Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
-3.5 pp vs. peer median (13.4%) · Ranked #7 of 9 similar schools
18.5%
13.4%
53.3%
9.9%
Higher than 19% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Winters High School's UC Reach of 9.9% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
Overall, Winters High School's UC Reach is higher than 19% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Winters High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Winters · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Winters High School sits near the bottom of its similar-school group (ranked #7 of 9): 10% vs. a peer median of 13%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has risen 5 points since 2018.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 8% (103→111 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of +4%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+0.3%/yr); projects to ~477 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winters High School | Public | 472 | 9.9% | +8% |
| Peer-group median | 13.4% | +4% | ||
| Buckingham Collegiate Charter | Public | 446 | 32.0% | +16% |
| Da Vinci Charter Academy | Public | 561 | 24.0% | -19% |
| Esparto High School | Public | 287 | 7.5% | -24% |
| Dixon High School | Public | 995 | 8.7% | -7% |
| Public Safety Academy | Public | 731 | 10.6% | +40% |
| Sem Yeto Continuation High | Public | 302 | — | -24% |
| New Technology High School | Public | 378 | 10.4% | +10% |
| Saint Helena High School | Public | 443 | 16.2% | -2% |
| Natomas Pacific Pathways Prep | Public | 634 | 29.4% | +10% |
| Las Flores High (alternative) | Public | 525 | — | +65% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego | 3.70 | 33.3% | 28.1% | +5.2pp | Over |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.69 | 40.0% | 27.0% | +13.0pp | Over |
| UC Davis | 3.69 | 23.5% | 32.2% | -8.6pp | Under |
Where Winters High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (30.6% actual vs. 29.7% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 9 | 3 | — | 33.3% | 2.7% | — | 3.70 | — |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 10 | 4 | — | 40.0% | 3.6% | — | 3.69 | — |
| UC Davis → | 17 | 4 | — | 23.5% | 3.6% | — | 3.69 | — |