Compare with peers
Most similar nearby schools
Modesto Christian Hs → Monterey Bay Academy → Stone Ridge Christian High Sch → Khan Lab School → Kehillah Jewish High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-5.1%/yr, Total enrollment)
At tuition of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Tuition impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2026) | ~143 | -8 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2028) | ~129 | -22 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2030) | ~116 | -35 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Edit the figure to match your school.
Private-school figures come from the California Private School Affidavit. Per CDE, inclusion in private-school data is not an evaluation, approval, or endorsement of a school.
Turlock Christian Jr-Sr School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Private · Other religious · Turlock · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Turlock Christian Jr-Sr School sits near the bottom of its similar-school group (ranked #3 of 4): 10% vs. a peer median of 14%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has held roughly steady since 2020.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 53% (45→21 from 2020 to 2025), trailing the peer-group median of +23%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-5.1%/yr), enrollment projects to ~129 by 2028 — about 22 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 22 fewer students. At a tuition of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual tuition revenue at risk.
Estimate seeded by other religious private school typical — wide range: Jewish day $25k–35k, Lutheran/Christian $10k–18k. NCES doesn't publish per-school tuition; adjust to your school's actual figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turlock Christian Jr-Sr School | Private · Other religious | 151 | 10.0% | -53% |
| Peer-group median | 14.4% | +23% | ||
| Modesto Christian Hs | Private · Other religious | 227 | — | -46% |
| Monterey Bay Academy | Private · Other religious | 155 | 5.8% | -10% |
| Stone Ridge Christian High Sch | Private · Other religious | 264 | — | +24% |
| Khan Lab School | Private · Other religious | 135 | — | +90% |
| Kehillah Jewish High School | Private · Other religious | 185 | — | +17% |
| Santa Clara High School | Private · Catholic | 171 | 95.3% | -56% |
| Central Catholic High School | Private · Catholic | 422 | 14.4% | +22% |
| Rise Academy | Private · Other religious | 225 | — | +25% |
| Apostles Lutheran School | Private · Other religious | 228 | — | +36% |
| Mid Peninsula High School | Private · secular | 137 | — | +27% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type, and religious orientation. Methodology →
GPA figures reflect 2022 — UC has not yet released applicant/admit GPA for 2024.
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA? Based on 2022 (latest GPA available).
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis | 4.12 | 50.0% | 37.2% | +12.8pp | Over |
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2022
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2024
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) '22 | Avg GPA (Adm) '22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UCLA → Elite | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | — |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC Irvine → Selective | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC Davis → | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | — |