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Most similar nearby schools
Kehillah Jewish High School → Rise Academy → Khan Lab School → Apostles Lutheran School → Mid Peninsula High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-9.1%/yr, Total enrollment)
At tuition of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Tuition impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2026) | ~155 | -16 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2028) | ~129 | -42 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2030) | ~106 | -65 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Ventura County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Santa Clara High School's enrollment is shrinking 33.1× the county rate (school -56.2% vs. county -1.7%). Stability of 92.5% means every family you keep is one fewer; the leverage is at recruitment, not retention. This is the case the high stability number alone would hide.
130 of 1,735 students who enrolled at Santa Clara High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (7.5% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Low and stable absenteeism — students are engaged and showing up. The leading indicator is healthy.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
Diocesan context — Archdiocese of Los Angeles
ArchdioceseLargest Catholic school system in the U.S. Archdiocese of Los Angeles is the canonical governance body for Catholic schools in this region — board policy, tuition guidance, and shared services typically originate here. Visit the diocesan website →
Financial figures aren't shown because Catholic (arch)dioceses don't file IRS Form 990 — they're covered by the USCCB Group Ruling (GEN 0928), which exempts dioceses, parishes, and parochial schools from individual filing. School counts above are hand-compiled from each diocese's published schools-department information.
Private-school figures come from the California Private School Affidavit. Per CDE, inclusion in private-school data is not an evaluation, approval, or endorsement of a school.
Santa Clara High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Private · Catholic · Oxnard · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Santa Clara High School sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #1 of 4): 95% vs. a peer median of 26%.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 56% (80→35 from 2020 to 2025), trailing the peer-group median of +21%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-9.1%/yr), enrollment projects to ~129 by 2028 — about 42 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 42 fewer students. At a tuition of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual tuition revenue at risk.
Estimate seeded by catholic private school typical — Catholic HS typical $10k–18k. NCES doesn't publish per-school tuition; adjust to your school's actual figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara High School | Private · Catholic | 171 | 95.3% | -56% |
| Peer-group median | 26.3% | +21% | ||
| Kehillah Jewish High School | Private · Other religious | 185 | — | +17% |
| Rise Academy | Private · Other religious | 225 | — | +25% |
| Khan Lab School | Private · Other religious | 135 | — | +90% |
| Apostles Lutheran School | Private · Other religious | 228 | — | +36% |
| Mid Peninsula High School | Private · secular | 137 | — | +27% |
| Cristo Rey San Jose Jesuit Hs | Private · Catholic | 435 | 35.2% | -14% |
| Eastside College Prep School | Private · secular | 251 | 26.3% | -5% |
| Waldorf School of the Peninsul | Private · secular | 99 | — | -43% |
| Granada Islamic School | Private · Other religious | 456 | — | +450% |
| Bridges Academy | Private · secular | 310 | 13.0% | +12% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type, and religious orientation. Methodology →
GPA figures reflect 2024 — UC has not yet released applicant/admit GPA for 2025.
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA? Based on 2024 (latest GPA available).
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Santa Barbara | 4.00 | 60.0% | 31.9% | +28.1pp | Over |
| UC Davis | 3.96 | 31.4% | 30.9% | +0.5pp | On target |
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) '24 | Avg GPA (Adm) '24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 106 | 12 | 10 | 11.3% | — | 83.3% | 4.07 | 4.30 |
| UCLA → Elite | 106 | 11 | 5 | 10.4% | — | 45.5% | 4.04 | 4.32 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 121 | 24 | 6 | 19.8% | — | 25.0% | 4.00 | 4.29 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 102 | 39 | 6 | 38.2% | — | 15.4% | 4.00 | 4.29 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 113 | 32 | 8 | 28.3% | — | 25.0% | 4.01 | 4.23 |
| UC Davis → | 123 | 40 | 9 | 32.5% | — | 22.5% | 3.96 | 4.23 |