Enrollment & Outcomes Scorecard
Tokay High School
Public · Lodi · San Joaquin County · 2,054 students · Class of 2025
UC Reach · Class of 2025
8%
Higher than 11% of California high schools
On the peer median (8.3%)
· Ranked #6 of 10 similar schools
5-year UC Reach
2021 · 11.9%
2025 · 8.1%
-12%
Senior-class enrollment (2018–2026)
-33.3 pp
vs. San Joaquin County baseline (+22%)
~2046
5-yr projected enrollment (8 fewer than today)
- ▸On UC Reach, Tokay High School sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #6 of 10): 8% vs. a peer median of 8%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has held roughly steady since 2018.
- ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Tokay High School is admitting at roughly +8 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (3.893) alone would predict (32% actual vs. 24% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 12% (487→431 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +1%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-0.1%/yr), enrollment projects to ~2046 by 2029 — about 8 fewer students than today.
Most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | UC Reach | Enroll. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lodi High School | Public | 12.5% | +0% |
| Bear Creek High School | Public | 14.2% | +2% |
| Cesar Chavez High School | Public | 7.5% | -6% |
| Ronald E Mcnair High School | Public | 12.9% | +2% |
| Franklin High | Public | 6.7% | +6% |
| Edison Senior High School | Public | 8.3% | -2% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class. Sources: UCOP Admissions by Source School, CDE enrollment, IRS Form 990, NCES F-33. Reach — by Test Prep Gurus · Methodology
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