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Ojai Valley School → Oak Grove School → Villanova Preparatory School → Cate School → Providence → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+0.2%/yr, Total enrollment)
At tuition of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Tuition impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2026) | ~257 | +0 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2028) | ~258 | +1 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2030) | ~259 | +2 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Edit the figure to match your school.
+3.3 pp above peer median (43.5%) · Ranked #4 of 7 similar schools
18.6%
43.5%
53.4%
46.8%
Higher than 86% of California high schools (1142 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Thacher School the's UC Reach of 46.8% is in the top quartile statewide (median 18.6%; top 25% bar 34.2%) — but it's still below the top-10% bar of 53.4%.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 95.1% — a gap of 48 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Thacher School the's UC Reach is higher than 86% of California high schools (1142 ranked).
Private-school figures come from the California Private School Affidavit. Per CDE, inclusion in private-school data is not an evaluation, approval, or endorsement of a school.
Thacher School the — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Private · secular · Ojai · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Thacher School the sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #4 of 7): 47% vs. a peer median of 44%.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 2% (64→65 from 2020 to 2025), outpacing the peer-group median of -21%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+0.2%/yr); projects to ~258 by 2028.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thacher School the | Private · secular | 257 | 46.8% | +2% |
| Peer-group median | 43.5% | -21% | ||
| Ojai Valley School | Private · secular | 307 | 38.1% | -16% |
| Oak Grove School | Private · secular | 212 | — | +260% |
| Villanova Preparatory School | Private · Catholic | 266 | 49.0% | -14% |
| Cate School | Private · secular | 306 | 50.7% | -3% |
| Providence | Private · Other religious | 290 | — | -62% |
| LA Reina High School | Private · Catholic | 271 | 53.6% | -38% |
| Saint Bonaventure High School | Private · Catholic | 412 | 36.4% | -31% |
| Dunn School | Private · secular | 219 | 22.6% | -26% |
| Westmark School | Private · secular | 215 | — | +53% |
| Highland Hall Waldorf School | Private · secular | 210 | — | -40% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type, and religious orientation. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 4.20 | 25.9% | 19.2% | +6.7pp | Over |
| UCLA | 4.16 | 14.3% | 9.8% | +4.5pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 4.14 | 21.7% | 16.0% | +5.7pp | Over |
| UC Santa Barbara | 4.09 | 21.1% | 36.2% | -15.2pp | Under |
| UC Irvine | 4.15 | 23.1% | 26.3% | -3.2pp | On target |
| UC Davis | 4.12 | 46.2% | 33.5% | +12.7pp | Over |
Where Thacher School the sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (23.6% actual vs. 21.3% expected).
Campus Breakdown — 2024
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 27 | 7 | — | 25.9% | 11.3% | — | 4.20 | 4.25 |
| UCLA → Elite | 28 | 4 | — | 14.3% | 6.5% | — | 4.16 | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 23 | 5 | — | 21.7% | 8.1% | — | 4.14 | 4.30 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 19 | 4 | — | 21.1% | 6.5% | — | 4.09 | — |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 13 | 3 | — | 23.1% | 4.8% | — | 4.15 | — |
| UC Davis → | 13 | 6 | — | 46.2% | 9.7% | — | 4.12 | 4.22 |