Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment (9–12)
426 (2018)539 (2026)
+26.5%
Grade 12 (graduating class)
83 (2020)79 (2026)
-4.8%

If this trend holds (+3.0%/yr, Total enrollment)

At per-pupil funding of $ / student:

Horizon Projected Total enrollment Change Funding impact / yr
1 yr (2027) ~555 +16 $0
3 yr (2029) ~589 +50 $0
5 yr (2031) ~624 +85 $0

Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.

Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25

Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Contra Costa County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.

Healthy
Outperforming the market — gaining relative share even as Contra Costa County contracts.

Summit Public School K2 is shrinking (-4.8%) but Contra Costa County is shrinking faster (-9.4%), so Summit Public School K2 is winning roughly 4.6 pp of relative market share. Combined with 92.8% stability (county median 89.5%), this reflects a school that families actively chose during a market contraction. Replicable model — worth documenting what's working. Chronic absenteeism is rising (25.5%, +14.2 pts since 2016-17) — a watch signal worth monitoring as a leading indicator.

-4.8%  school enrollment (2020–2026)
-9.4%  Contra Costa County baseline
+4.6pp  gap vs. county
92.8%  retention (county median 89.5%)
Enrollment — indexed to 100 at 2020
Stability rate by year (raw %)
Stability rate
92.8%
359 of 387 students

28 of 387 students who enrolled at Summit Public School K2 this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (7.2% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.

Contra Costa County median
89.5% · school is in the 67th percentile of 45 HS
Statewide median
87.2% · in the 79th percentile of 1,688 HS

Stability by student group

Socio. disadvantaged (496) 89.3%
Hispanic / Latino (442) 90.3%
English learners (121) 83.5%
Students w/ disabilities (96) 88.5%
Black / African Am. (75) 93.3%
Asian (22) 86.4%

Nearest peer high schools

John F. Kennedy High 75.7% Aspire Richmond Ca. College Preparatory Academy 94.4% Invictus Academy Of Richmond 81.2% Oakland Military Institute, College Preparatory Academy 94.9% John Henry High School 89.9%

Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.

Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25

Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.

Chronic absent
27.3%
102 of 373 students

Absenteeism is up 16.0 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.

Contra Costa County median
22.1% · school is worse than 58% of 45 HS
Statewide median
22.9%
Chronic absenteeism by year (raw %)

Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).

SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025

Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.

ELA — met or exceeded
n = 80
60.0%
incl. 30.0% exceeded
+8.2 pts above Contra Costa County median (51.8%) · CA median 54.3% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 79.3%
Math — met or exceeded
n = 79
16.5%
incl. 5.1% exceeded
-6.5 pts vs. Contra Costa County median (23.0%) · CA median 21.1% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 53.6%

Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.

Student composition — 2025-26

HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.

Race / ethnicity

Hispanic / Latino 82% +4.5
Black / African Am. 10% +1.2
Asian 4% -1.3
Two or more 2% -1.9
White 1% -1.4
Filipino 1%
Not reported 1%

Program subgroups

Students w/ disabilities 82% +3.6
English learners 16% -1.2
Socioeconomically disadv. 16% +1.6

Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.

District financial profile — Contra Costa County Office of Education (FY2020)

From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.

Total revenue
$101.9M
-10.7% since FY2017
Per-pupil revenue
$272,577
374 students enrolled
Revenue mix
State: 31.7%
Local: 60.2%
Federal: 8.1%
Instruction share
36.7%
of current spending · $67,868/pupil
Total revenue by year ($M)
Total expenditure by year ($M)

Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Contra Costa County Office of Education as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).

University of California outcomes · Class of 2025
UC Reach
5%
4 admits / 78 seniors
-15.1 pp vs. peer median (20.2%) · Ranked #9 of 9 similar schools
5-year trend
2021 · 37.3% 2025 · 5.1%
Where this sits on the California curve
CA median
18.5%
Top 10%
53.3%
This school
5.1%
0%50%100%
CA median 18.5% Top 10% ≥ 53.3% This school 5.1%

Higher than 4% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)

📊 What this number means

Summit Public School K2's UC Reach of 5.1% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.

But in Contra Costa County, where the local median is 25.6% and the top-10% bar is 58.5%, this score is mid-pack rather than exceptional — typical of its market rather than a standout.

Overall, Summit Public School K2's UC Reach is higher than 4% of California high schools (1105 ranked).

UC Application Reach
116.7%
91 applications
Most seniors are applying to at least one of the six most selective UCs (applications counted at each campus).
In context: CA median 78.3% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 245.8% · Contra Costa Co. Top 10% ≥ 323.6% · higher than 66% of CA HS.
UC Admit Rate
4.4%
4 / 91 applications
In context: CA median 26.0% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 40.5% · higher than 0% of CA HS.
UC Yield Rate
N/A
None enrolled of 4 admitted
Yield vs. Enrollment Reach: Yield answers "of UC admits, what % chose UC?" — denominator is just the admits. A small admitted cohort can post a low yield even when the school sends a healthy share of its class to UC.
UC Enrollment Reach
N/A
None enrollees / 78 seniors
Enrollment Reach vs. Yield: Reach answers "of the whole senior class, what % ended up at UC?" — denominator is everyone. High Yield with low Enrollment Reach is common at elite privates: most admits matriculate, but the school sends most of its class to non-UC selective colleges.
A-G Completion
99%
74 of 75 graduates · 2024-25 cohort
In context: CA median 55.9% · +42.8 pp above.
Selective UC Reach (UCSD, UCSB, UCI, UCD)
N/A
Elite UC Reach (UCB + UCLA)
N/A
Senior Class Size
78
CDE grade 12 (exact)
Total School Enrollment
554
All grades · CDE Census Day

Summit Public School K2 — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot

Public · El Cerrito · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools

  • On UC Reach, Summit Public School K2 sits near the bottom of its similar-school group (ranked #9 of 9): 5% vs. a peer median of 20%.
  • Its UC Reach has slipped 26 points since 2020 — worth watching.
  • Senior-class enrollment is down 5% (83→79 from 2020 to 2026), tracking the peer-group median of -5%.
  • In business terms, this is market-share growth during a market contraction. Contra Costa County's senior population shrank 9% over the same window — Summit Public School K2 only shrank 5%. So Summit Public School K2 picked up about 5 percentage points of relative share — families chose it over the alternatives even as the overall pool got smaller. That's overperforming the market in a shrinking market.
  • Enrollment has been growing (+3.0%/yr); projects to ~589 by 2029.

Enrollment projection

539 students (2026)
~589 projected (2029)
at +3.0%/yr

Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools

School Type Size UC Reach Enroll. trend
Summit Public School K2 Public 539 5.1% -5%
Peer-group median 20.2% -5%
John F. Kennedy High Public 625 7.4% -34%
Aspire Richmond Ca. College Preparatory Academy Public 606 +38%
Invictus Academy Of Richmond Public 399 6.6% -7%
Oakland Military Institute, College Preparatory Academy Public 501 -52%
John Henry High School Public 338 14.5% +36%
Piedmont High School Public 713 53.7% -5%
Nea Community Learning Center Public 442 16.0% +7%
Gateway High School Public 475 39.2% -1%
Hercules High School Public 817 24.5% -23%
Life Academy High School Public 434 27.4% -5%

UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →

Avg. Applicant GPA · top-6 UCs
3.51

Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus

How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?

Campus Applicant GPA (avg) Actual admit rate CA peer avg Δ Verdict
UC Davis 3.49 18.2% 33.5% -15.3pp Under
"Applicant GPA" is the average GPA of this school's UC applicant pool — not an individual student GPA. "CA peer avg" is the application-weighted statewide admit rate at this school-pool GPA, fit separately per campus. At any given pool GPA, real admit rates span widely (UCSD ranges 8% → 65% across CA schools) because UCs use comprehensive review — context-of-opportunity, geography, demographics, and applicant essays all weigh in beyond GPA. A large negative residual flags this school is admitted at a meaningfully lower rate than other CA schools at the same pool GPA — not that students here were "rejected at expected rate X." "Over" / "Under" use a ±5-point band. Campuses with fewer than 5 applicants are omitted.

UC Outcomes Trend — 2020–2025

UC Admit Rate %
UC Reach % (where available)
UC Admits (count, right axis)

Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.

Campus Breakdown — 2025

Campus Applicants Admits Enrollees Admit Rate UC Reach Yield Avg GPA (App) Avg GPA (Adm)
UC Berkeley → Elite 29 3.53
UCLA → Elite 21 3.54
UC San Diego → Selective 7 3.49
UC Irvine → Selective 12 3.46
UC Davis → 22 4 18.2% 5.1% 3.49
⚠ Campus-level totals may count one student admitted to multiple UC campuses more than once. Admit Volume metrics are not the same as UC Reach, which requires unique-student counts. See methodology →

What This Means

A large share of the senior class applies to UC, indicating strong college-going culture and UC pipeline development.
A large share of the class applies to UC, so the admit rate runs lower than the application volume alone might suggest — expected when many students apply broadly, including to reach campuses. UC Reach (which credits every admit relative to the class) is the truer read of how the class fares: a strong Reach alongside a moderate admit rate is healthy, not a contradiction.
Fewer than 15% of seniors are earning UC admission. This may reflect a high non-UC college-going rate, significant A-G completion gaps, or an early-stage UC pipeline. A deeper review of A-G readiness and counseling capacity is warranted.
UC Reach has declined meaningfully year-over-year. This should be reviewed in context of applicant volume, GPA trends, course rigor changes, and peer-school performance before drawing conclusions.
Note: admit counts used here are campus-level totals. A student admitted to both UCLA and UCSD is counted twice. When UCOP unique-student data becomes available it will be loaded automatically and the labels will update.
Compare with other schools → See Contra Costa County rankings →

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