Scripps Ranch High
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Most similar nearby schools
Mira Mesa High School → Mt Carmel High School → Westview High School → Canyon Crest Academy → Poway High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-1.9%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~1,884 | -36 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~1,814 | -106 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~1,747 | -173 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the San Diego County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Scripps Ranch High is shrinking (-3.3%) but San Diego County is shrinking faster (-7.8%), so Scripps Ranch High is winning roughly 4.5 pp of relative market share. Combined with 94.7% stability (county median 88.5%), this reflects a school that families actively chose during a market contraction. Replicable model — worth documenting what's working.
102 of 1,938 students who enrolled at Scripps Ranch High this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (5.3% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 3.5 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — San Diego Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 65.2%
Federal: 10.6%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the San Diego Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
+17.7 pp above peer median (25.1%) · Ranked #3 of 11 similar schools
18.5%
25.1%
53.3%
42.8%
Higher than 84% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Scripps Ranch High's UC Reach of 42.8% is in the top quartile statewide (median 18.5%; top 25% bar 32.0%) — but it's still below the top-10% bar of 53.3%.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 60 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Scripps Ranch High's UC Reach is higher than 84% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Scripps Ranch High — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · San Diego · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Scripps Ranch High sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #3 of 11): 43% vs. a peer median of 25%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has slipped 2 points since 2018 — worth watching.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 3% (509→492 from 2018 to 2026), tracking the peer-group median of -3%.
- ▸In business terms, this is market-share growth during a market contraction. San Diego County's senior population shrank 8% over the same window — Scripps Ranch High only shrank 3%. So Scripps Ranch High picked up about 4 percentage points of relative share — families chose it over the alternatives even as the overall pool got smaller. That's overperforming the market in a shrinking market.
- ▸At its recent rate (-1.9%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1814 by 2029 — about 106 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 106 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scripps Ranch High | Public | 1920 | 42.8% | -3% |
| Peer-group median | 25.1% | -3% | ||
| Mira Mesa High School | Public | 2147 | 22.1% | -0% |
| Mt Carmel High School | Public | 1818 | 22.3% | +2% |
| Westview High School | Public | 2067 | 74.2% | -9% |
| Canyon Crest Academy | Public | 1977 | 92.7% | -5% |
| Poway High School | Public | 2034 | 28.0% | -9% |
| Rancho Bernardo High School | Public | 2247 | 34.0% | +4% |
| West Hills High School | Public | 1616 | 14.6% | -25% |
| Hoover High | Public | 1878 | 18.4% | -1% |
| Santana High School | Public | 1619 | 7.8% | +26% |
| University City High | Public | 1445 | 33.0% | -26% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 4.04 | 6.6% | 13.3% | -6.6pp | Under |
| UCLA | 4.02 | 9.6% | 9.3% | +0.2pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 3.98 | 17.0% | 20.4% | -3.4pp | On target |
| UC Santa Barbara | 4.01 | 25.1% | 33.3% | -8.2pp | Under |
| UC Irvine | 3.96 | 17.5% | 25.0% | -7.5pp | Under |
| UC Davis | 4.00 | 30.2% | 32.9% | -2.7pp | On target |
Where Scripps Ranch High sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (17.8% actual vs. 22.4% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 151 | 10 | 6 | 6.6% | 2.2% | 60.0% | 4.04 | 4.24 |
| UCLA → Elite | 188 | 18 | 7 | 9.6% | 3.9% | 38.9% | 4.02 | 4.25 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 218 | 37 | 14 | 17.0% | 8.0% | 37.8% | 3.98 | 4.26 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 183 | 46 | 6 | 25.1% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 4.01 | 4.26 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 206 | 36 | 8 | 17.5% | 7.8% | 22.2% | 3.96 | 4.20 |
| UC Davis → | 169 | 51 | 11 | 30.2% | 11.0% | 21.6% | 4.00 | 4.20 |