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Basis Independent Fremont Upper Sch → Cristo Rey San Jose Jesuit Hs → Eastside College Prep School → Apostles Lutheran School → Castilleja School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-2.4%/yr, Total enrollment)
At tuition of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Tuition impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~302 | -8 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~288 | -22 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~274 | -36 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Los Angeles County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Enrollment growth is beating Los Angeles County (+11.5% vs. -0.3%), but 63 of 308 students didn't maintain continuous enrollment. Why are families leaving once enrolled? Chronic absenteeism is rising (29.7%, +19.6 pts since 2016-17) — a watch signal worth monitoring as a leading indicator.
63 of 308 students who enrolled at Bridges Academy this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (20.5% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: total enrollment.
Absenteeism is up 19.6 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
Financial profile — IRS Form 990, FY2023
From 13 years of Form 990 filings via ProPublica Nonprofit Explorer (free public IRS data). The school's tax filings show financial scale, fundraising health, and endowment trajectory — signals that drive board-level conversations about tuition pricing, financial-aid capacity, and capital projects.
Source: IRS Form 990 via ProPublica Nonprofit Explorer (EIN 954659439). Tuition-per-student is total program-service revenue divided by latest enrollment — a rough average that includes auxiliary revenue (athletics, food service, etc.); the actual published tuition can differ. Form 990 is filed annually under penalty of perjury, so the financial scale figures are authoritative.
Private-school figures come from the California Private School Affidavit. Per CDE, inclusion in private-school data is not an evaluation, approval, or endorsement of a school.
Bridges Academy — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Private · secular · Studio City · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Bridges Academy sits near the bottom of its similar-school group (ranked #7 of 7): 13% vs. a peer median of 46%.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 12% (26→29 from 2020 to 2025), tracking the peer-group median of +12%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-2.4%/yr), enrollment projects to ~288 by 2029 — about 22 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 22 fewer students. At a tuition of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual tuition revenue at risk.
Default derived from this school's own IRS Form 990 (FY2023): program-service revenue ÷ enrollment, rounded to the nearest $1k — an authoritative average that includes auxiliary revenue (athletics, food service). Your published tuition may differ; adjust if needed. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridges Academy | Private · secular | 310 | 13.0% | +12% |
| Peer-group median | 46.1% | +12% | ||
| Basis Independent Fremont Upper Sch | Private · secular | 350 | 212.5% | +23% |
| Cristo Rey San Jose Jesuit Hs | Private · Catholic | 435 | 35.2% | -14% |
| Eastside College Prep School | Private · secular | 251 | 26.3% | -5% |
| Apostles Lutheran School | Private · Other religious | 228 | — | +36% |
| Castilleja School | Private · secular | 416 | 113.7% | -15% |
| Rise Academy | Private · Other religious | 225 | — | +25% |
| Granada Islamic School | Private · Other religious | 456 | — | +450% |
| Presentation High School | Private · Catholic | 545 | 42.7% | -17% |
| Crystal Springs Uplands Sch | Private · secular | 347 | 49.5% | +11% |
| Basis Independent Silicon Vall | Private | 819 | — | +14% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type, and religious orientation. Methodology →
GPA figures reflect 2024 — UC has not yet released applicant/admit GPA for 2025.
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA? Based on 2024 (latest GPA available).
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis | 4.00 | 42.9% | 31.2% | +11.6pp | Over |
UC Outcomes Trend — 2019–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) '24 | Avg GPA (Adm) '24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.95 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | — |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | — |
| UC Davis → | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | — |