Enrollment & Outcomes Scorecard
Ronald E Mcnair High School
Public · Stockton · San Joaquin County · 1,610 students · Class of 2025
UC Reach · Class of 2025
13%
Higher than 31% of California high schools
+4.8 pp above peer median (8.1%)
· Ranked #2 of 10 similar schools
5-year UC Reach
2021 · 8.2%
2025 · 12.9%
+2%
Senior-class enrollment (2018–2026)
-20.3 pp
vs. San Joaquin County baseline (+22%)
~1564
5-yr projected enrollment (46 fewer than today)
- ▸On UC Reach, Ronald E Mcnair High School sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #2 of 10): 13% vs. a peer median of 8%.
- ▸Ronald E Mcnair High School's UC Reach has stepped down from a peak of 18% in 2024 to 13% in 2025 — a 6-point decline worth tracking.
- ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Ronald E Mcnair High School is admitting at roughly +16 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (3.893) alone would predict (40% actual vs. 24% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 2% (409→415 from 2018 to 2026), tracking the peer-group median of +1%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-1.0%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1564 by 2029 — about 46 fewer students than today.
Most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | UC Reach | Enroll. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stagg Senior High | Public | 5.2% | +13% |
| Bear Creek High School | Public | 14.2% | +2% |
| Cesar Chavez High School | Public | 7.5% | -6% |
| Able Charter | Public | 8.3% | +18% |
| Franklin High | Public | 6.7% | +6% |
| Tokay High School | Public | 8.1% | -12% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class. Sources: UCOP Admissions by Source School, CDE enrollment, IRS Form 990, NCES F-33. Reach — by Test Prep Gurus · Methodology
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