Prospect High School
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Most similar nearby schools
Lynbrook High School → Westmont High School → Monta Vista High School → Del Mar High School → Cupertino High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-0.3%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~1,432 | -4 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~1,424 | -12 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~1,416 | -20 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Santa Clara County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Prospect High School is shrinking (-1.5%) but Santa Clara County is shrinking faster (-6.2%), so Prospect High School is winning roughly 4.7 pp of relative market share. Combined with 93.0% stability (county median 90.2%), this reflects a school that families actively chose during a market contraction. Replicable model — worth documenting what's working.
107 of 1,518 students who enrolled at Prospect High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (7.0% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 6.9 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Campbell Union High (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 79.3%
Federal: 6.3%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Campbell Union High as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
-12.0 pp vs. peer median (48.3%) · Ranked #6 of 11 similar schools
18.5%
48.3%
53.3%
36.3%
Higher than 79% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Prospect High School's UC Reach of 36.3% is in the top quartile statewide (median 18.5%; top 25% bar 32.0%) — but it's still below the top-10% bar of 53.3%.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 66 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Prospect High School's UC Reach is higher than 79% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Prospect High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Saratoga · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Prospect High School sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #6 of 11): 36% vs. a peer median of 48%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has held roughly steady since 2018.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 2% (332→327 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -9%.
- ▸In business terms, this is market-share growth during a market contraction. Santa Clara County's senior population shrank 6% over the same window — Prospect High School only shrank 2%. So Prospect High School picked up about 5 percentage points of relative share — families chose it over the alternatives even as the overall pool got smaller. That's overperforming the market in a shrinking market.
- ▸At its recent rate (-0.3%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1424 by 2029 — about 12 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 12 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prospect High School | Public | 1436 | 36.3% | -2% |
| Peer-group median | 48.3% | -9% | ||
| Lynbrook High School | Public | 1640 | 85.7% | -5% |
| Westmont High School | Public | 1631 | 28.7% | +12% |
| Monta Vista High School | Public | 1588 | 85.5% | -31% |
| Del Mar High School | Public | 1318 | 10.4% | +22% |
| Cupertino High School | Public | 1814 | 77.7% | -13% |
| Abraham Lincoln High | Public | 1575 | 17.6% | -17% |
| Saratoga High School | Public | 1143 | 72.9% | -2% |
| Willow Glen High School | Public | 1537 | 30.3% | -8% |
| Pioneer High School | Public | 1342 | 35.4% | -10% |
| Leland High School | Public | 1441 | 61.3% | -19% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.99 | 13.8% | 12.5% | +1.3pp | On target |
| UCLA | 4.00 | 12.6% | 9.2% | +3.4pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 3.94 | 22.6% | 21.2% | +1.5pp | On target |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.94 | 33.7% | 29.8% | +3.8pp | On target |
| UC Irvine | 3.98 | 23.2% | 25.6% | -2.4pp | On target |
| UC Davis | 3.92 | 23.3% | 32.3% | -9.0pp | Under |
Where Prospect High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (21.7% actual vs. 22.0% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 94 | 13 | 10 | 13.8% | 3.6% | 76.9% | 3.99 | 4.22 |
| UCLA → Elite | 95 | 12 | 6 | 12.6% | 3.4% | 50.0% | 4.00 | 4.25 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 106 | 24 | 7 | 22.6% | 6.7% | 29.2% | 3.94 | 4.27 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 101 | 34 | 6 | 33.7% | 9.5% | 17.6% | 3.94 | 4.25 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 99 | 23 | 4 | 23.2% | 6.4% | 17.4% | 3.98 | 4.26 |
| UC Davis → | 103 | 24 | — | 23.3% | 6.7% | — | 3.92 | 4.21 |